EU
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Keir Starmer’s £50 Billion Con

How a manufactured “black hole” let the government loot the public purse and call it fiscal responsibility A year ago the Keir Starmer government announced a £22 billion shortfall in the national accounts. Ministers said they had discovered a fiscal “black hole” left by their predecessors and that the only responsible answer was to raise… Continue reading
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Moscow and Beijing Define Their Own Order

An examination of the new communique and the making of a multipolar framework The recent communique between Russia and China, signed by Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin and Chinese Premier Li Qiang, marks another step in the quiet but steady consolidation of their strategic partnership. The document sets out a framework for expanded cooperation across… Continue reading
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Putin’s Rare-Earths Decree and the Battle for Resource Power

Russia’s new roadmap seeks strategic leverage in a market long dominated by China, but capacity gaps remain vast. In early November 2025 President Putin directed his government to produce by 1 December a detailed “road-map” for the extraction and processing of rare-earth minerals in Russia. (The Moscow Times) Russia has in recent months emphasised that… Continue reading
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Trump’s G-2 Fantasy

China grants a one-year truce, not a partnership. Washington still misreads the balance of power. The Busan meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping on 30 October was billed in parts of the Western press as a reset in United States–China relations. In reality, it was a limited ceasefire in a prolonged economic war that… Continue reading
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The Coming Resource Wars

Scott Bessent’s two-year decoupling fantasy and why rare earths will drag Africa into the next great conflict Scott Bessent announced that within one to two years the United States and its allies will stop relying on China for rare earth materials. Bessent presents his timeline with the confidence of a man certain that China can… Continue reading
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Poland in Service of Empire

The Making of Poland as Europe’s Front-Line Enforcement While Denying the Past The geopolitics of Poland over the past two years reflect a convergence of strategic alignment, elite policy choices and historical memory, culminating in what appears to many observers as Poland acting as a highly committed front-line state rather than a truly autonomous actor.… Continue reading
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