China
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Kagan and Boot: The Guilty Are Writing the Verdict
From Tehran to Taiwan: The Men Who Built America’s Empire Are Now Writing Its Autopsy The extraordinary significance of the Max Boot interview with former CIA analyst John Culver does not rest merely in the military assessments themselves, severe as they already appear. The deeper significance rests in who is speaking, where they are speaking,… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, East Africa, economics, Energy, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, NATO, politics, reserve currency, warAmerican decline, American empire, American Power, Atlanticism, Belt and Road Initiative, China, containment strategy, de-dollarisation, defence policy, empire, energy politics, Eurasia, Eurasian integration, Geopolitics, Geostrategy, global hegemony, global order, great power competition, imperial overstretch, Indo-Pacific, Indo-Pacific strategy, Industrial Capacity, international relations, iran, John Culver, maritime power, Max Boot, military industrial complex, Military Primacy, military strategy, multipolar world order, NATO, Neoconservatism, petrodollar, political economy, Project for the New American Century, Robert Kagan, Russia, sanctions, South China Sea, Strait of Hormuz, Strategic Competition, Strategic Decline, taiwan, Taiwan Strait, Ukraine war, unipolarity, US foreign policy, US Hegemony, US Navy, US-China relations, Washington Consensus, West Asia -
The China Perspective: War Without Declaration
A Consideration of War in Iran and the Greater Reordering of the World In Which China Endures the Tumult of War Whilst the Old Order Strains to Maintain Its Hold China views the Iran war not as a distant regional conflict but as part of a broader strategic environment in which it is the primary… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, South East Asia, warBelt and Road Initiative, China, containment strategy, economic warfare., energy security, Eurasian integration, financial systems, Geopolitics, global power shift, global supply chains, global trade, globalisation, international relations, Iran War, maritime chokepoints, Middle East conflict, multipolar world order, realism theory, sanctions, sanctions policy, Strait of Hormuz, Strategic Competition, strategic restraint, United States, US-China relations -
A Division of Labour in WarA Division of Labour in War
The Transfer of Strategic Burden from Washington to Europe in the Ukraine Conflict The Ukraine conflict has entered a phase in which military attrition matters less than institutional transfer. Washington no longer behaves as a state attempting to terminate a costly war through settlement. It behaves as a system reallocating operational responsibility to subordinate allies… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, Russia, warAlliance Politics, burden sharing, China, defence spending, energy markets, energy security, European Union, Geopolitics, global fragmentation, great power competition, hegemonic stability theory, Indo-Pacific, international relations, iran, LNG, middle east, military strategy, multipolarity, NATO, Nord Stream, proxy warfare, realism, Russia, Russia-Ukraine conflict, sanctions, security architecture, strategic sequencing, Ukraine war, United States foreign policy -
DeepSeek and the End of American AI Cost Dominance
How DeepSeek exposed the economic weakness inside high-cost American artificial intelligence systems DeepSeek released a lower-cost artificial intelligence model that approaches the performance range of leading American systems while operating at a fraction of the reported price. Reported token pricing places DeepSeek near $3.48 per million output tokens, while comparable frontier systems from OpenAI and… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, satellites, technology, warAI deployment, AI economics, AI infrastructure, AI market disruption, American technology sector, artificial intelligence, asymmetric competition, China, Chinese industrial strategy, Chinese technology, chip restrictions, computational economics, compute efficiency, cost advantage, cost warfare, DeepSeek, export controls, frontier models, geopolitical technology, hardware sanctions, Huawei, Huawei chips, industrial competition, industrial policy, OpenAI, semiconductor competition, Silicon Valley, strategic technology, technology rivalry, technology sovereignty -
The Strain Between What Was and What Is Becoming
On the Fragmentation of Globalisation into Competing Systems of Power Post-1945 international economic order did not emerge as neutral design but as structured dominance disguised as institutional consensus. The International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade formalised trade liberalisation and capital mobility under United States leadership, yet their deeper function… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, warasset managers, banks, CBDC, central banks, China, commodity markets, crypto, deglobalisation, digital finance, dollar system, Economic Security, energy control, financial system, fragmentation, Geopolitics, globalisation, gold flows, international order, iran, military power, monetary order, oil trade, power systems, Russia, sanctions, State power, Strategic Competition, supply chains, technocracy, trade networks -
On the Preservation of Power in Troubled Times
Revealing the Means by Which Energy, Finance, and Force Uphold the Global Dominance of Nations What many take to be a scattering of troubles across the globe, wars here, trade unsettled there, and a lingering unease in distant regions, cannot be rightly understood as separate misfortunes. They are threads, though tangled to the casual eye,… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, South East Asia, warBRICS, capital accumulation, China, class relations, economic hegemony, energy geopolitics, energy markets, energy security, financial systems, geopolitical strategy, global governance, global political economy, global trade, industrial economics, infrastructure disruption, maritime power, Marxist analysis, multipolarity, petro-dollar system, resource control, Russia, sanctions regimes, trade routes, transnational class, United States -
How Lavrov’s 2025 Warning About a “Breakdown” in the World Order Is Playing Out Today
What the Russian foreign minister said at the Russian International Affairs Council in January 2025 and how recent global developments reflect his argument about rising competition, instability, and shifting power dynamics When Sergei Lavrov spoke at the Russian International Affairs Council on January 30, 2025, he laid out a stark view of global politics. He… Continue reading
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Ban on Chinese Scientists Scrapped at NeurIPS After Backlash
Sanctions frameworks and conference gatekeeping operate as political tools in shaping scientific access, funding, and global AI competition Reversal of a ban on Chinese researchers by United States-based organizers of NeurIPS has exposed the degree to which geopolitical competition now shapes access to core scientific infrastructure in artificial intelligence, a field central to economic and… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, waracademic freedom, AI, AI competition, AI supremacy, artificial intelligence, China, Chinese scientists, compliance, conference governance, COVID-19, Geopolitics, global research, Huawei, ICLR, ICML, innovation, institutional control, knowledge economy, legal frameworks, machine learning, NeurIPS, peer review, research bans, research funding, sanctions, science policy, scientific publishing, technology policy, United States, US-China relations -
Gulf States Draw Line on War with Iran
Gulf governments resist integration while exploring alternative security architecture Gulf states are declining participation in any military structure that places them alongside Israel or under a unified command that includes Israeli forces. Abdulaziz Sager, founder of the Gulf Research Center, attributes this position to both political constraints and strategic calculation across the region. Several governments… Continue reading
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The Strait of Hormuz Is Open by Permission
Iran imposes controlled transit after sustained aggression, converting open passage into a regulated system of access, payment, and geopolitical alignment A functioning maritime corridor has been converted into a controlled economic gate without formal closure, altering both the legal character and financial mechanics of the most critical energy chokepoint in the global system. Shipping through… Continue reading
