Escalation dynamics

January 31, 2026

The Iran Deal That Was Deliberately Broken

How Abandoning the JCPOA Removed Containment To Make Way For Confrontation For several years, Donald Trump has repeatedly insisted that Iran must “make a deal,” but his most recent demand has been framed with unusual urgency. He has publicly declared that Iran has until today to comply, warning of severe consequences if it does not. Continue reading

AI and Digital Control, America, economics, Energy, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, israel, middle east, NATO, politics, Russia, war

credibility and diplomacy, Escalation dynamics, great power competition, iran, JCPOA, Middle East geopolitics, regime change, sanctions strategy, United States foreign policy, war justification narratives
January 24, 2026

The Persistence of an Unwinnable War

U.S.–Israeli Strategy Has Strengthened the Adversary It Sought to Break and Why Another War Is Likely to Reproduce Past Failures The current phase of confrontation unfolds amid an unprecedented concentration of military and naval forces across the Middle East, creating conditions widely recognised by defence analysts as consistent with imminent large scale conflict. Naval strike Continue reading

AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, israel, middle east, NATO, politics, Russia, war

economic sanctions, Escalation dynamics, Game Theory, hybrid warfare, international law, iran, Israel security strategy, Middle East conflict, military balance, missile deterrence, nuclear deterrence, regime change, regional security, strategic failure, United States foreign policy

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Escalation dynamics

The Iran Deal That Was Deliberately Broken

The Persistence of an Unwinnable War