Gulf security
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The Collapse of “Plan A” and the Emergence of a War Without Control
Israeli Escalation, Iranian Leverage, and the Breakdown of United States Control Amid Infrastructure Warfare, Energy Market and Global Economic Shock Military escalation between the United States, Israel and Iran over the past twenty-four hours has altered both the operational direction and the political control of the conflict, with immediate consequences for energy markets, alliance management… Continue reading
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Iran as an Underdog has Proven Effective and now Holds Significant Leverage
The consequences of underestimation and misreading capability by the United States and Israel has resulted in measurable strategic cost The available evidence indicates that the scale and resilience of Iranian state capacity under sustained attack have been materially underestimated in much Western policy analysis, despite repeated cautions issued over several years by academic specialists in… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, NATO, politics, warasymmetric warfare, conflict analysis, cost imposition strategy, decentralised defence, deterrence, Drone Warfare, Escalation dynamics, geopolitical leverage, Gulf security, hybrid warfare, iran, israel, Middle East geopolitics, military doctrine, military miscalculation, missile warfare, regional power balance, state resilience, Strait of Hormuz, strategic resilience, strategic studies, underdog, United States, war of attrition -
A War Iran Does Not Need to Win Decisively
Why the Trump-Israel coalition’s wider objectives are easier to frustrate than Iran’s narrower aim of survival and retaliation revealing the asymmetry between preserving a state and trying to break one Iran holds the cards because it is fighting defensively on its own terrain, with time, geography and economic leverage on its side; Trump blundered by… Continue reading
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The Security Council’s Selective Condemnation of Iran
How the UN Resolution on Iran Omitted the Origins of the Conflict and Reflected the Politics of Power The resolution adopted by the United Nations Security Council condemning Iran’s military actions across the Gulf has been presented as a clear statement in defence of regional stability. Yet the circumstances surrounding the vote raise serious questions… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, Carribean, East Africa, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, iran, israel, middle east, NATO, politics, Russia, warasymmetric warfare, Condemnation, Drone Warfare, economic disruption, economic warfare., energy security, geopolitical economy, geopolitical strategy, global energy markets, Gulf security, international diplomacy, iran, israel, Middle East geopolitics, military strategy, missile warfare, oil markets, sanctions, Strait of Hormuz, strategic deterrence, UN Resolution, UN Security Council, United Nations, United States, war of attrition, war termination -
The Hormuz Pressure Point Forces a Diplomatic Search for a Face-Saving Settlement
Oil market destabilisation reshapes battlefield calculations imposing a strategic dilemma of war termination under conditions of asymmetric pressure Strategic conflict between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States–Israel alliance developed across nearly half a century of sanctions, covert operations, proxy warfare, assassinations of Iranian officials and nuclear scientists, and repeated military confrontations across… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, economics, Energy, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, warasymmetric warfare, Drone Warfare, economic disruption, economic warfare., energy security, geopolitical economy, geopolitical strategy, global energy markets, Gulf security, international diplomacy, iran, israel, Middle East geopolitics, military strategy, missile warfare, oil markets, sanctions, Strait of Hormuz, strategic deterrence, United States, war of attrition, war termination
