global energy markets
-
Do Not Underestimate the United States (Editorial Version)
An analytical examination of the US blockade on Iran, the systematic disruption of energy flows to Asia, and the long-term campaign to isolate China The United States Navy’s deployment of FA-18 Super Hornets to conduct strafing attacks against Iranian commercial tankers in the Gulf of Oman on 6 and 8 May 2026, three vessels targeted,… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, South East Asia, waralliance systems, Brian Berletic, Brookings Institution, China, deindustrialisation, economic warfare., energy security, Energy Warfare, Eurasia, Eurasian integration, Geopolitics, global energy markets, global trade routes, great power competition, Indo-Pacific, industrial policy, international relations, iran, LNG, maritime chokepoints, Maritime Strategy, NATO, Nord Stream, proxy warfare, RAND Corporation, Russia, sanctions, sanctions policy, Strait of Hormuz, Strait of Malacca, Strategic Competition, Ukraine war, United States foreign policy, US Navy -
Do Not Underestimate the United States (Long Version)
Why the United States Seeks Control of Supply Routes Rather Than Conventional Victory American power has repeatedly been misread during prolonged geopolitical confrontations because commentators continue measuring strategic success through the narrow lens of immediate battlefield outcomes rather than through cumulative institutional, economic, and infrastructural transformation across decades. Independent geopolitical analyst Brian Berletic argued during… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, East Africa, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, iran, israel, middle east, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, waralliance systems, Brian Berletic, Brookings Institution, China, deindustrialisation, economic statecraft, economic warfare., energy geopolitics, energy security, Energy Warfare, Eurasia, Eurasian integration, geopolitical risk, Geopolitics, global energy markets, global trade routes, great power competition, Indo-Pacific, industrial policy, international relations, iran, LNG, maritime chokepoints, Maritime Strategy, military strategy, NATO, Nord Stream, proxy warfare, RAND Corporation, Russia, sanctions, sanctions policy, Strait of Hormuz, Strait of Malacca, Strategic Competition, strategic studies, supply chains, Ukraine war, United States foreign policy, US Navy, US-China relations -
The UAE’s OPEC+ Exit – A Structural Gamble
An irreversible strategic shift in energy, security, and regional order The United Arab Emirates’ decision to quit OPEC+ represents a structural rupture in Gulf geopolitics, reshaping energy flows, fracturing regional alliances, and exposing the fragility of U.S. strategic guarantees. This manoeuvre is irreversible. By monetising its newly expanded oil capacity of five million barrels per… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, South East Asia, warAbu Dhabi, asymmetric warfare, capital flight, energy strategy, Fujairah pipeline, Game Theory, GCC, global energy markets, Gulf geopolitics, international political economy, iran, Middle East energy, OPEC fragmentation, OPEC+, Persian Gulf, regional alliances, regional power shift, Saudi Arabia, strategic autonomy, U.S. security guarantees, UAE -
When Terms Are Rejected and Wars Cannot Be Won
Why Iran Will Not Bargain, Ukraine Cannot Prevail and Brazil’s Rupture with the System A decisive structural rupture now governs the international system, where coercive diplomacy has lost credibility and military-economic escalation has become the primary language of state interaction. Iran’s refusal to attend ceasefire talks does not represent obstinacy but rather a rational rejection… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, warattrition warfare, bab el mandeb, Brazil foreign policy, deterrence, energy security, Game Theory, Geopolitics, global energy markets, global governance crisis, global trade disruption, hezbollah, information warfare, international relations theory, Iran US relations, Israel Lebanon conflict, Lula da Silva, maritime chokepoints, Middle East conflict, military industrial complex, multipolar world order, political economy, proxy wars, sanctions economy, Strait of Hormuz, Strategic Competition, Ukraine-Russia war, UN Security Council, Western foreign policy -
A War on Iran, A Strategy Against China
United States policy toward Iran reflects a broader strategy of energy control aimed at constraining China and maintaining systemic primacy The escalation of United States military and economic pressure against Iran must be understood within a broader strategic framework in which energy flows, maritime chokepoints, and financial systems intersect with long-term competition between major powers,… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, warBelt and Road Initiative, China containment, CPEC, de-dollarisation, economic warfare., energy geopolitics, energy security, financial systems, Geopolitics, global energy markets, global trade networks, great power rivalry, Iran conflict, maritime chokepoints, military strategy, multipolar world order, naval power, political economy, reserve currency, Russia-China relations, sanctions, Strait of Hormuz, Strategic Competition, supply chains, US foreign policy, US primacy -
Iran – The Last Window of Empire to Stop Multipolarity
Why the War on Iran Signals a Final Attempt to Halt Multipolarity Before It Becomes Irreversible A structural rupture in the international system is already underway, and its trajectory has become effectively irreversible. The confrontation centred on Iran constitutes not a regional escalation but a terminal phase in the enforcement of a unipolar order that… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, Latin America, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, South East Asia, warChina Strategy, de-dollarisation, economic warfare., energy geopolitics, Game Theory, Geopolitics, global energy markets, global order, grand strategy, great power competition, hegemonic decline, imperial strategy, international relations theory, Iran conflict, Middle East geopolitics, multipolarity, petrodollar system, political economy, proxy warfare, Russia strategy, sanctions, Strategic Competition, systemic risk, unipolarity, US foreign policy -
The Security Council’s Selective Condemnation of Iran
How the UN Resolution on Iran Omitted the Origins of the Conflict and Reflected the Politics of Power The resolution adopted by the United Nations Security Council condemning Iran’s military actions across the Gulf has been presented as a clear statement in defence of regional stability. Yet the circumstances surrounding the vote raise serious questions… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, Carribean, East Africa, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, iran, israel, middle east, NATO, politics, Russia, warasymmetric warfare, Condemnation, Drone Warfare, economic disruption, economic warfare., energy security, geopolitical economy, geopolitical strategy, global energy markets, Gulf security, international diplomacy, iran, israel, Middle East geopolitics, military strategy, missile warfare, oil markets, sanctions, Strait of Hormuz, strategic deterrence, UN Resolution, UN Security Council, United Nations, United States, war of attrition, war termination -
The Hormuz Pressure Point Forces a Diplomatic Search for a Face-Saving Settlement
Oil market destabilisation reshapes battlefield calculations imposing a strategic dilemma of war termination under conditions of asymmetric pressure Strategic conflict between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States–Israel alliance developed across nearly half a century of sanctions, covert operations, proxy warfare, assassinations of Iranian officials and nuclear scientists, and repeated military confrontations across… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, economics, Energy, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, warasymmetric warfare, Drone Warfare, economic disruption, economic warfare., energy security, geopolitical economy, geopolitical strategy, global energy markets, Gulf security, international diplomacy, iran, israel, Middle East geopolitics, military strategy, missile warfare, oil markets, sanctions, Strait of Hormuz, strategic deterrence, United States, war of attrition, war termination -
Iran Rejects Ceasefire Demands Permanent End to War and External Pressure
Iranian leadership argues that temporary truces only preserve the strategic conditions that have produced decades of confrontation since the 1979 revolution. Iranian refusal to accept a temporary ceasefire reflects a strategic calculation rooted in the historical pattern of hostilities directed against the Islamic Republic since the 1979 revolution. Tehran frames the current confrontation as the… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, iran, israel, middle east, NATO, politics, Russia, warAbbas Araghchi, ceasefire diplomacy, energy security, Game Theory, Geopolitics, global energy markets, Gulf geopolitics, iran, Iranian foreign policy, IRGC, Israel Iran tensions, Middle East conflict, oil geopolitics, political economy, regional power balance, security architecture, Strait of Hormuz, Sun Tzu, Thomas Schelling, US–Iran relations, war strategy -
Iran War Blunder Seen Through the Law of Unintended Consequences
Strait of Hormuz disruption, sanctions blowback, and energy market chaos exposing the fragility of globalisation and accelerating geopolitical realignment Economic history repeatedly demonstrates the law of unintended consequences operating with particular force during military escalation and coercive sanctions regimes. The confrontation surrounding Iran now produces cascading disruptions across energy markets, alliances, shipping networks, and domestic… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, Russia, technology, warenergy chokepoints, energy geopolitics, energy security, Geopolitics, global energy markets, globalisation critique, international political economy, international trade routes, LNG markets, oil markets, Russia energy trade, sanctions blowback, sanctions policy, Strait of Hormuz, strategic miscalculation, supply chain disruption, unintended consequences, West Asia conflict
