strategic studies
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US-Israel-Iran Standoff Shows Settlement Depends on Battlefield Outcomes, not Talks
Iran conditions talks on guarantees and concessions while US proposals require prior compliance, leaving negotiations structurally blocked and raise likelihood of battlefield resolution Recent reporting from The Telegraph reflects a position carried through Gulf and Iranian channels over several days, describing a breakdown in direct contact after a meeting in Geneva on February twenty six,… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, economics, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, Health, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, warbargaining model of war, battlefield dynamics, Brent Crude Oil, Carl von Clausewitz, coercive diplomacy, credible commitment, deterrence, economic impact, energy markets, Game Theory, Geopolitics, iran, Middle East conflict, military strategy, nuclear policy, sanctions, strategic studies, US Israel relations, war and negotiation -
Iran as an Underdog has Proven Effective and now Holds Significant Leverage
The consequences of underestimation and misreading capability by the United States and Israel has resulted in measurable strategic cost The available evidence indicates that the scale and resilience of Iranian state capacity under sustained attack have been materially underestimated in much Western policy analysis, despite repeated cautions issued over several years by academic specialists in… Continue reading
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A War Iran Does Not Need to Win Decisively
Why the Trump-Israel coalition’s wider objectives are easier to frustrate than Iran’s narrower aim of survival and retaliation revealing the asymmetry between preserving a state and trying to break one Iran holds the cards because it is fighting defensively on its own terrain, with time, geography and economic leverage on its side; Trump blundered by… Continue reading
