Russia
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Brazil’s Venezuela Veto: A Strategic Miscalculation in face of the U.S. Security Pivot
How blocking Venezuela reshaped BRICS cohesion and weakened Brazil’s strategic position amid renewed U.S. regional dominance The decision by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to veto Venezuela’s accession to BRICS occurred during a period when United States strategic doctrine had already shifted back toward hemispheric control. Senior figures within United States defence planning circles had… Continue reading
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US Gangsterism at Sea: The Pursuit of Marinera and the Return of Gunboat Enforcement
The legal and strategic consequences of American piracy, coercive power beyond the UN Charter, and the erosion of international maritime law The pursuit of the oil tanker formerly known as Bella 1 illustrates a form of maritime coercion that sits outside any recognised mandate under international law. The episode concerns a sanctioned commercial vessel carrying… Continue reading
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Lebanon, Syria and the Future of Iran’s Resistance Axis
Israel’s objectives, Iran’s calculations and Hezbollah’s survival choices Haytham Ali Tabatabai’s killing in Beirut marks a structural inflection in the resistance axis’s operational and political posture across Lebanon, Syria and Yemen. Hezbollah’s command losses and the public rhetoric from Iran’s senior leadership expose the organisation to a simultaneous operational squeeze and political contestation that will… Continue reading
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Russia Achieves Strategic Advantage in the 2025 Arms Race
Nuclear-powered systems, hypersonic deterrence, force modernisation, and asymmetric operational adaptation By 2025, trends in defence investment, procurement cycles, and weapons testing across major military powers showed a clear intensification of strategic competition. This was driven by sustained European militarisation, continued Western support for Ukraine’s armed forces, and the expansion of United States defence programmes described… Continue reading
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Russia: Car Bomb Killing in Moscow Signals Shift in the War
Russian officials say investigators are examining whether Ukrainian intelligence carried out the bombing, citing Kyiv’s past use of explosives in targeted killings of officials. The war between Russia and Ukraine appears to have crossed a new threshold, with violence reaching into the Russian capital. A car bomb exploded in southern Moscow, killing Fanil Sarvarov, a… Continue reading
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The Consequences of Stealing Russia’s Money
Broke Europe turns to Russian central bank reserves as political commitments exceed financial capacity Western governments froze Russian central bank reserves held abroad in early 2022, amounting to roughly two hundred and forty billion euros, with the bulk immobilised inside European financial infrastructure. The action followed the outbreak of open war in Ukraine and relied… Continue reading
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Zelensky’s Election Bargain: Western Funding or No Vote
Kiev Demands External Support to Hold Elections Amid Ongoing Conflic and Erosion of Political Legitimacy Ukraine’s request for the West to fund its upcoming election reveals the extent to which the ongoing conflict has reshaped the political landscape. Kiev’s readiness to hold an election, contingent on foreign financial support and a ceasefire, underscores the precarious… Continue reading
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Zelensky Says Referendum Possible on Territorial Concessions
Zelensky says referendum or elections may determine position on disputed regions Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky said the country may hold a referendum on whether to make territorial concessions as part of a future peace deal with Russia. Ukraine has previously refused to recognize any of the regions that have joined Russia. Speaking to reporters on… Continue reading
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Russia Declares “No Misunderstandings” with the United States Over Ukraine
Moscow’s statement frames a new phase of diplomacy that could redefine Ukrainian neutrality, NATO aspirations and regional security structures. Russia’s foreign minister, Sergey Lavrov, announced this week that all “misunderstandings” with the United States over the war in Ukraine have been resolved, marking an important moment in diplomatic developments after nearly four years of conflict.… Continue reading
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Trump’s Ukraine Turn Through Moscow’s Eyes
Lavrov on Trump, Ukraine, NATO, and the End of Strategic Pretence Sergey Lavrov’s remarks praising Donald Trump’s understanding of the Ukraine conflict matter because they reflect a convergence of views that many analysts outside Western policy establishments have voiced since 2014. Lavrov told Russia’s Federation Council that Trump was the only Western leader to acknowledge… Continue reading
