IRGC
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Diplomacy on Paper, War in Practice
London hosts talks on Hormuz while enabling the very conflict it claims to stand apart from The decision by the United Kingdom to convene a gathering of 35 countries to “explore” reopening the Strait of Hormuz carries the appearance of urgency and coordination, yet it is difficult to avoid the conclusion that it is largely… Continue reading
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Iran Rejects Ceasefire Demands Permanent End to War and External Pressure
Iranian leadership argues that temporary truces only preserve the strategic conditions that have produced decades of confrontation since the 1979 revolution. Iranian refusal to accept a temporary ceasefire reflects a strategic calculation rooted in the historical pattern of hostilities directed against the Islamic Republic since the 1979 revolution. Tehran frames the current confrontation as the… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, iran, israel, middle east, NATO, politics, Russia, warAbbas Araghchi, ceasefire diplomacy, energy security, Game Theory, Geopolitics, global energy markets, Gulf geopolitics, iran, Iranian foreign policy, IRGC, Israel Iran tensions, Middle East conflict, oil geopolitics, political economy, regional power balance, security architecture, Strait of Hormuz, Sun Tzu, Thomas Schelling, US–Iran relations, war strategy -
The Limits of Regime Change in a Hardened State
Manufactured internal dissent, external pressure, and the endurance of a layered Iranian political order The demand for regime change in Iran has become a litmus test for political coherence in the present international order. Advocacy for the overthrow of the Iranian state, when detached from the material balance of power that governs outcomes, functions as… Continue reading
