China
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The Thai–Cambodian Clashes and the Politics of Managed Chaos in Asia A Local War with External Hands fuelled by the logic of peripheral destabilisation Fighting along the Thai–Cambodian border returned in mid-December after a short and unstable pause following clashes earlier in the year. Artillery fire, small arms engagements, and troop movements spread across disputed Continue reading
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Japan’s Risky Taiwan Rhetoric Exposes Its Dependence on the U.S.
Tokyo provokes Beijing, but Washington’s silence shows who’s in charge. Japan is in damage control after its Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi made one of the most provocative statements in years. She claimed that a Chinese attack on Taiwan could be an “existential threat” to Japan, suggesting this could justify Japan deploying its military. As expected, Continue reading
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Kenya Between Washington and Beijing
Debt Pressure, Public Discontent and Chinese Capital Push Nairobi Toward BRICS Channels Kenyan diplomacy under President William Ruto has moved through a period of visible strain between older Western alignments and newer overtures to China, Russia and the wider BRICS network. Washington treated Kenya as a dependable security partner for two decades because Kenyan forces Continue reading
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China Steps In When Nations Stop Trusting the West
A sovereign shift: China ties gold custody, renminbi clearing, and geopolitics to bypass Western systems. China’s decision to build and operate major new gold vaults in Hong Kong marks a structural change in how global bullion custody, pricing, and sovereign reserve management will evolve in the coming decade. The decision is not a logistical convenience Continue reading
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Hong Kong Challenges the Dollar’s Quiet Dominance
Hong Kong Sovereign Bond Sale Sparks Global Interest, Signaling Shifts in Currency Power In a striking display of global investor appetite, a US$4 billion sovereign bond issued by China’s Ministry of Finance in Hong Kong has sold out in just three minutes, with the total demand soaring to an unprecedented US$118.2 billion, an oversubscription rate Continue reading
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The United States Has No Tools to Break China
The United States has neither the plans nor the partners to make a confrontation work. The recent RAND Corporation report on U.S.-China relations presents a marked departure from confident narratives of American strategic dominance. Rather than outlining how Washington can impose systemic change on Beijing, the document focuses on stabilising the rivalry. In doing so Continue reading
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Moscow and Beijing Define Their Own Order
An examination of the new communique and the making of a multipolar framework The recent communique between Russia and China, signed by Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin and Chinese Premier Li Qiang, marks another step in the quiet but steady consolidation of their strategic partnership. The document sets out a framework for expanded cooperation across Continue reading
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Putin’s Rare-Earths Decree and the Battle for Resource Power
Russia’s new roadmap seeks strategic leverage in a market long dominated by China, but capacity gaps remain vast. In early November 2025 President Putin directed his government to produce by 1 December a detailed “road-map” for the extraction and processing of rare-earth minerals in Russia. (The Moscow Times) Russia has in recent months emphasised that Continue reading
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The Coming Resource Wars
Scott Bessent’s two-year decoupling fantasy and why rare earths will drag Africa into the next great conflict Scott Bessent announced that within one to two years the United States and its allies will stop relying on China for rare earth materials. Bessent presents his timeline with the confidence of a man certain that China can Continue reading
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U.S. Pulls Troops from Europe, Shifts to China’s Doorstep
Pentagon redirects troops toward the Indo-Pacific to confront China The United States is withdrawing a major military division from Romania and will not replace it, according to Romania’s defense minister. The move marks a clear reorientation of American military priorities from Europe toward Asia. The Pentagon confirmed that the division will be reassigned as part Continue reading
