escalation
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Russia’s Shifting Conduct of the War in Ukraine
How Russia moved from holding back to deploying its most advanced missiles against Ukraine, what NATO’s solidarity visit to Kyiv actually delivered, and why neither side is close to stopping For more than four years, Vladimir Putin prosecuted his military campaign in Ukraine with a deliberate restraint that frustrated Russian hawks, confused Western analysts, and… Continue reading
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Reading Between the Lines: Why Rezaee’s CNN Interview Is More About Messaging Than Negotiation
Tehran does not expect negotiations to produce a breakthrough, it wants to shape the narrative around any future escalation My reading of Rezaee’s CNN interview is that it is primarily directed at Western audiences and the cameras, not because Tehran genuinely expects negotiations to produce a breakthrough, but because it wants to shape the narrative… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, imperialism, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, neocolonialism, politics, South East Asia, warBab al-Mandab, British Empire Legacy, CNN Interview, Colonial Borders, conflict analysis, diplomacy, escalation, Foreign Affairs, GCC, geopolitical risk, Geopolitics, Geostrategy, Gulf Monarchies, Gulf States, information warfare, international relations, iran, Iran US relations, Long War, maritime security, middle east, Middle East politics, Middle East Transformation, Mohsen Rezaee, multipolar world order, Persian Gulf, political legitimacy, political stability, power projection, Red Sea security, Regime Security, Regional Conflict, Regional Order, Regional Realignment, security studies, state formation, Strategic Affairs, strategic messaging, US foreign policy, West Asia -
The President Changes. The Strategy Doesn’t
American Primacy, Structural Entrenchment, and the Path to Permanent Conflict On 8 March 1992, the New York Times published a front-page report under the headline “U.S. Strategy Plan Calls for Insuring No Rivals Develop,” based on a leaked draft of the Pentagon’s Defense Planning Guidance for fiscal years 1994 to 1999. The document, drafted under… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, war$1.5 trillion defence spending, AI competition, American exceptionalism, American population, American primacy, anti-ship missiles, arms procurement, Asian energy dependency, AUKUS, Boeing, Brian Berletic, British Empire, burden sharing, China containment, Chinese education, Chomsky, CIA drone operations, controlled demolition, corporate capture, corporate extraction, defence budget, Defense Planning Guidance 1992, Dick Cheney, domestic austerity, economic nationalism, escalation, Force Design 2030, General David Berger, General Dynamics, geopolitical analysis, Georgetown CSET, Grand Bargain, great power competition, hegemonic decline, Herman, historical precedent, I. Lewis Libby, ideological indoctrination, imperial overextension, Indo-Pacific strategy, Iran war 2026, japan, LNG markets, Lockheed Martin, manufacturing consent, Marine Littoral Regiments, media distraction, Middle East energy disruption, military industrial complex, multipolar world, national debt, National Science Board, National Security Strategy 2025, New Eastern Outlook, NMESIS, no rivals develop, Northrop Grumman, One Big Beautiful Bill, One China policy, Paul Wolfowitz, perpetual conflict, petrodollar, Philippines, political theatre, post-Cold War strategy, proxy warfare, RAND Corporation, Raytheon, reindustrialisation, rent-seeking economy, reserve currency, Russian energy blockade, science and engineering indicators, semiconductors, Senate Armed Services Committee, shareholder primacy, social spending cuts, South Korea, Soviet collapse, STEM graduates, Strait of Hormuz, structural entrenchment, taiwan, tariffs, technological competition, think tank policy, Trump foreign policy, Ukraine proxy war, unipolarity, US dollar hegemony, wall street, Wolfowitz Doctrine, workforce competition, world war risk -
The Truth About Downed Aircraft Is So Hard to Say
When Multiple Expensive Aircraft Start Falling Frequently Great Powers Cannot Admit Enemy Attrition In war, what governments avoid saying clearly can tell you as much as what they openly admit. When expensive aircraft begin going down in or around a contested theatre, the immediate tactical explanation matters less than the political meaning of the loss.… Continue reading
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Israel Targeting Iran Again: From Nuclear Alarm to Ballistic Missile Crisis
How Netanyahu’s shifting threat narratives sustain escalation when strategy stalls Trump, who continues to refuse the release of the Epstein files, welcomed Netanyahu, a leader travelling under formal pursuit by the International Criminal Court prosecutor, with arrest warrants sought against him for alleged war crimes. His aircraft transited the airspace of several states that are… Continue reading
