middle east
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The Fractured Crescent

Power, Rivalry and Realignment in the Emerging Middle Eastern Order The Middle East enters another period of strategic transition as assumptions underpinning the regional order during the post-Cold War era face growing pressure from shifting power balances, changing economic realities, military confrontation, and the gradual erosion of uncontested American dominance. Public discussion frequently presents the… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, Latin America, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, South East Asia, warAbraham Accords, energy politics, Eurasia, Gaza War, Geopolitics, Geostrategy, great power competition, Gulf Cooperation Council, Gulf States, iran, israel, middle east, Mohammed bin Salman, Mohammed bin Zayed, multipolarity, Netanyahu, Political Rivalry, power transition, Qatar, Red Sea, regional power shift, Regional Realignment, Saudi Arabia, security architecture, Strait of Hormuz, Strategic Competition, Sudan conflict, Trump, Turkey, US foreign policy, West Asia, Yemen war -
The Calm Before the Storm: Is Washington Preparing for War With Iran Again?

Washington says it wants diplomacy, but the demands being placed on Tehran look more like surrender terms than the foundation for lasting peace. The United States says it still wants diplomacy with Iran. Officials continue talking about negotiations, peace, and “de-escalation.” But behind the language of diplomacy, the reality looks very different. The conditions Washington… Continue reading
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1953 Coup: The Original Sin of US-Iran Relations

The 1953 Anglo-American overthrow of Mohammad Mosaddegh destroyed a democratic nationalist government, and laid the foundations for the anti-Western resistance doctrine drives Tehran’s politics today The modern confrontation between Iran and the United States did not begin with the 1979 Islamic Revolution, the embassy hostage crisis, or the rise of the Islamic Republic under Ayatollah… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics1953 Iranian Coup, Anglo-Iranian Oil Company, anti-imperialism, ayatollah khomeini, BP, BRICS, British Empire, British foreign policy, CIA, CIA Coups, Cold War, Declassified Documents, economic warfare., energy geopolitics, Eurasia, foreign intervention, Geopolitics, Global South, intelligence operations, iran, Iranian Nationalism, Iranian Revolution, Iranian Sovereignty, MI6, middle east, Mohammad Mosaddegh, multipolarity, nationalisation, Oil Politics, Operation Ajax, Petroleum Politics, political Islam, regime change, sanctions, SAVAK, Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, United Kingdom, United States, US foreign policy, US–Iran relations, Western Intervention -
A Division of Labour in WarA Division of Labour in War

The Transfer of Strategic Burden from Washington to Europe in the Ukraine Conflict The Ukraine conflict has entered a phase in which military attrition matters less than institutional transfer. Washington no longer behaves as a state attempting to terminate a costly war through settlement. It behaves as a system reallocating operational responsibility to subordinate allies… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, Russia, warAlliance Politics, burden sharing, China, defence spending, energy markets, energy security, European Union, Geopolitics, global fragmentation, great power competition, hegemonic stability theory, Indo-Pacific, international relations, iran, LNG, middle east, military strategy, multipolarity, NATO, Nord Stream, proxy warfare, realism, Russia, Russia-Ukraine conflict, sanctions, security architecture, strategic sequencing, Ukraine war, United States foreign policy -
Diplomacy on Paper, War in Practice

London hosts talks on Hormuz while enabling the very conflict it claims to stand apart from The decision by the United Kingdom to convene a gathering of 35 countries to “explore” reopening the Strait of Hormuz carries the appearance of urgency and coordination, yet it is difficult to avoid the conclusion that it is largely… Continue reading
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The Unlawful War Now Threatens The World

Energy on the Brink as the Middle East Escalation Triggers Global Fallout Global energy markets have entered a state of heightened volatility following Israeli strikes on Iran’s South Pars gas field, prompting retaliatory action that has sent ripple effects across the region and the world. South Pars, shared with Qatar where it is known as… Continue reading
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Gulf States Caught in the Crossfire

How decades of reliance on Washington expose the Gulf to economic and military vulnerabilities Resentment is quietly mounting across the capitals of the Gulf Cooperation Council, as a convergence of strategic, economic, and political pressures forces a reassessment of long-standing alliances with Washington. Reports emerging from Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, and Doha suggest that these states… Continue reading
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US used an F-35 Jet To Shoot Down a Cheap Iranian Drone

What the use of a fifth-generation fighter against an Iranian drone suggests about modern air defence limits Reports that a United States F-35 fighter aircraft was used to shoot down an Iranian drone have prompted discussion among military analysts about the broader implications of the incident. While the interception itself was successful, the choice of… Continue reading
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On the Verge of Iran War

The region braces for war as U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict could start at any moment, affecting both regional security and global markets. The confrontation involving Iran, the United States, and Israel has reached a stage where military forces are positioned for rapid action, diplomatic efforts are secondary to military readiness, and the risk of escalation depends largely… Continue reading
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The Hypocrisy of Intervention

How U.S. Policy Manipulates Crisis for Geopolitical Gain The recent developments surrounding Iran, the protests, and the potential for military intervention raise difficult questions about U.S. policy and priorities. Former President Trump’s sudden concern for the lives of Iranian demonstrators contrasts sharply with his history of backing Israel’s military actions in Gaza, actions that killed… Continue reading
