Geopolitics
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The Strain Between What Was and What Is Becoming
On the Fragmentation of Globalisation into Competing Systems of Power Post-1945 international economic order did not emerge as neutral design but as structured dominance disguised as institutional consensus. The International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade formalised trade liberalisation and capital mobility under United States leadership, yet their deeper function… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, warasset managers, banks, CBDC, central banks, China, commodity markets, crypto, deglobalisation, digital finance, dollar system, Economic Security, energy control, financial system, fragmentation, Geopolitics, globalisation, gold flows, international order, iran, military power, monetary order, oil trade, power systems, Russia, sanctions, State power, Strategic Competition, supply chains, technocracy, trade networks -
Israel as Distraction, China as Target: The Structure of an Emerging Systemic War
How regional conflict obscures a larger strategy targeting China’s economic lifelines Something has already changed in the way power is organised, though it is rarely put plainly. The pattern of events still looks familiar, which is why it is easy to miss. Military movements in the Middle East are usually explained in terms of local… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, waranti-access area denial, blockade strategy, China containment, coercive diplomacy, economic warfare., energy security, Game Theory, Geopolitics, global trade routes, grand strategy, great power competition, hegemonic stability, Indo-Pacific strategy, international relations theory, iran, Marine Corps restructuring, maritime chokepoints, Middle East conflict, military doctrine, multipolar world order, naval strategy, political economy, resource control, Russia-China relations, strategic encirclement, supply chain security, systemic war, US foreign policy -
The Strategic Mis-use of Memory in U.S.-Iran Relations
Why the persistent invocation of 1979 continues to justify sanctions, strikes, and systemic escalation The enduring American narrative surrounding the 1979 embassy seizure functions not as historical record but as strategic instrument, and its continued deployment marks a structural refusal to acknowledge the limits of American power in the post-imperial Middle East. That refusal has… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, economics, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, war1953 Iranian coup d’état, Algiers Accords, energy security, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, international law, iran, Iran Air Flight 655, Iran hostage crisis, Iran–Iraq War, Iranian Revolution, Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, Middle East conflict, multipolar world, regime change, sanctions, Strait of Hormuz, United States, US–Iran relations -
A War on Iran, A Strategy Against China
United States policy toward Iran reflects a broader strategy of energy control aimed at constraining China and maintaining systemic primacy The escalation of United States military and economic pressure against Iran must be understood within a broader strategic framework in which energy flows, maritime chokepoints, and financial systems intersect with long-term competition between major powers,… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, warBelt and Road Initiative, China containment, CPEC, de-dollarisation, economic warfare., energy geopolitics, energy security, financial systems, Geopolitics, global energy markets, global trade networks, great power rivalry, Iran conflict, maritime chokepoints, military strategy, multipolar world order, naval power, political economy, reserve currency, Russia-China relations, sanctions, Strait of Hormuz, Strategic Competition, supply chains, US foreign policy, US primacy -
Why Russia is Not Fighting Like Iran
Different objectives and different constraint hence Russia’s calibrated attrition contrasts with Iran’s cost-imposition strategy revealing competing paths to power Russia is no longer fighting for victory in Ukraine in the conventional sense; it is determining the scale and timing of an outcome it increasingly believes it can impose. What appears externally as operational restraint reflects… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, iran, israel, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, South East Asia, warasymmetric warfare, China rise, cost imposition, deterrence, economic warfare., energy security, Geopolitics, global order, global power shift, international relations theory, Iran strategy, military strategy, multipolarity, political economy, proxy war, Russia Ukraine War, Strait of Hormuz, Strategic Competition, US foreign policy, war strategy -
Iran – The Last Window of Empire to Stop Multipolarity
Why the War on Iran Signals a Final Attempt to Halt Multipolarity Before It Becomes Irreversible A structural rupture in the international system is already underway, and its trajectory has become effectively irreversible. The confrontation centred on Iran constitutes not a regional escalation but a terminal phase in the enforcement of a unipolar order that… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, Latin America, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, Russia, South East Asia, warChina Strategy, de-dollarisation, economic warfare., energy geopolitics, Game Theory, Geopolitics, global energy markets, global order, grand strategy, great power competition, hegemonic decline, imperial strategy, international relations theory, Iran conflict, Middle East geopolitics, multipolarity, petrodollar system, political economy, proxy warfare, Russia strategy, sanctions, Strategic Competition, systemic risk, unipolarity, US foreign policy -
Iran Emerges as a Global Power
How Tehran Forced a Trans-national Owned Superpower To Retreat and Reshaped the Global Economy The war ended, fingers crossed, at the point where the United States accepted conditions it had rejected for four decades, and that moment marked a structural break rather than a negotiated settlement. Washington agreed to terms that reversed its established position… Continue reading
AI and Digital Control, America, China, economics, Energy, EUROPE, Financial markets, Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Global Finance, iran, israel, Latin America, middle east, Mineral Resources, NATO, politics, reserve currency, warcurrency diversification, economic warfare., energy markets, escalation doctrine, financial systems, Game Theory, Geopolitics, global economy, global power shift, international relations, iran, maritime control, Middle East conflict, military strategy, multipolar world, petrodollar, sanctions, Strait of Hormuz, strategic doctrine, United States foreign policy -
How Lavrov’s 2025 Warning About a “Breakdown” in the World Order Is Playing Out Today
What the Russian foreign minister said at the Russian International Affairs Council in January 2025 and how recent global developments reflect his argument about rising competition, instability, and shifting power dynamics When Sergei Lavrov spoke at the Russian International Affairs Council on January 30, 2025, he laid out a stark view of global politics. He… Continue reading
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Diplomacy on Paper, War in Practice
London hosts talks on Hormuz while enabling the very conflict it claims to stand apart from The decision by the United Kingdom to convene a gathering of 35 countries to “explore” reopening the Strait of Hormuz carries the appearance of urgency and coordination, yet it is difficult to avoid the conclusion that it is largely… Continue reading
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Israel Operates As a Law Unto Itself
Repeated incidents involving UN personnel highlight a persistent tension between operational conduct, strategic imperatives, and the uneven application of international law. The argument that Israel operates as a law unto itself in its dealings with the United Nations and its personnel rests on a pattern of conduct that critics contend is neither incidental nor episodic,… Continue reading
